ESC 2011 semi-final two predictions
Apr. 2nd, 2011 05:47 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
jawnbc It's time for my annual prognostications regarding this year's Eurovision. Since we will only know the 25 songs in the final after the semi-final, I won't do that prediction until after semi-final 2 on 12 May. Of course.
My system is banal yet cunning; see below:
Entries highlighted in yellow are weighted highest; those in grey are the "cusp" tier.
That means 5 songs should qualify: Bosnia, Israel, Estonia, Latvia and Denmark.
Of the ones on the cusp, my intuition says the following will show through: Austria, Cyprus, Slovenia, Romania and Ireland.
My system is banal yet cunning; see below:
- Performance: 0-3 points
- Region: 0-3 points (does this country benefit from any bloc voting patterns)
- Song type: 0-3 points (points for uptempo, ballad, dance, unique, can earn multiple points)
- Order: 0-2 points (opening and last 4 are weighted more: the middle bunch are disadvantaged)
- Ethnic: 0-1 point (can one tell the country/region based on the song or its presentation)
- Schtick (or gimmick): 0-1 point (could be a prop, could be the backstory of the artist
Entries highlighted in yellow are weighted highest; those in grey are the "cusp" tier.
That means 5 songs should qualify: Bosnia, Israel, Estonia, Latvia and Denmark.
Of the ones on the cusp, my intuition says the following will show through: Austria, Cyprus, Slovenia, Romania and Ireland.
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no subject
Date: 2011-04-03 01:50 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2011-04-04 09:26 pm (UTC)Fingers crossed! and thanks for sharing.
no subject
Date: 2011-04-09 03:30 pm (UTC)Благодарю за информацию
Date: 2011-06-06 06:53 am (UTC)Отличный блог!
Date: 2011-07-03 08:26 pm (UTC)